Carta vs Forge When An AI Agency's Valuation Moves Fast
Picture an AI and workflow automation agency two years past its seed round. Client demand tripled in a year, three early engineers hold option grants that are now worth a multiple of their strike price on paper, and two have quietly started taking recruiter calls. The founders need to decide, quickly, whether to run this liquidity program through Carta or Forge.
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The Situation On The Cap Table
The company has forty employees, a tight founding team that still owns the majority of the equity, and three senior engineers whose retention matters disproportionately to client delivery. The board has cash on hand from a recent raise, but not enough to fund a large buyback without cutting into the runway it needs for the next hiring push.
Why They Started With Carta
Because the goal was retaining three specific people rather than offering liquidity company-wide, the founders configured a small, capped tender through Carta funded from treasury. Each of the three could sell up to a set percentage of their vested shares, the transaction never left the cap table platform the company already used, and nothing about client pricing or margins went to an outside party.
Where The Model Broke
When the finance lead ran the numbers, funding even this small tender at the valuation the last round implied pushed the company's burn multiple into a range the board was not comfortable defending1. Fast-growing service and product hybrids like this one often see valuation move ahead of what a treasury can safely support, which is exactly the gap Forge is built to close by bringing in outside buyers instead.
What They Did Instead
The board split the difference: it kept the transaction size small enough that Carta could still fund and execute it from treasury, but it lengthened the vesting on the shares those three engineers held going forward so a smaller cash-out today did more retention work. That decision, not the platform choice itself, was the one that actually kept the team intact through the next twelve months.
When This Company Will Likely Move To Forge
If the next hiring wave repeats this pattern at three or four times the scale, the founders already know the internal-funding math will not work a second time. Their plan is to bring in Forge's buyer network for that round, priced off real institutional diligence rather than a round number, and to keep using Carta purely for the mechanics of settlement once a buyer and price are agreed.
The Numbers Behind The Decision
ARR growth at a young, fast-moving agency like this one usually sits well above what a more mature SaaS company would post, which is part of what made the founders' first instinct to fund everything internally feel reasonable2. The problem was not the growth rate itself but the mismatch between how fast paper value was rising and how much actual cash the business generated to fund a buyback at that value. That gap between valuation growth and free cash flow is exactly the signal to watch for, since it shows up well before a burn multiple calculation forces the issue.
What The Founders Would Do Differently
Looking back, the finance lead's biggest regret was not building the burn multiple model until after the tender was already announced to the three engineers, which turned a straightforward retention decision into an awkward walk-back conversation. The lesson they took into the next planning cycle: run the cash-impact model before any number is mentioned to an employee, even informally, and treat that model as a standing input to hiring and compensation planning rather than something built fresh each time someone asks about equity.
Lessons the finance lead took into the next planning cycle:
- Run the cash-impact model before any number is mentioned to an employee, even informally.
- Test the tender size against the burn multiple for your revenue band before announcing it.
- Keep the transaction small enough for treasury funding, and lengthen vesting on remaining shares so a smaller cash-out does more retention work.
- Plan to bring in Forge's buyer network for a later, larger round, with Carta handling settlement mechanics.
- Prepare an honest answer on client concentration before outside buyers ask about it.
Client Concentration And Staying Focused
Agencies at this stage often derive a large share of revenue from a small number of anchor clients, and any outside buyer sourced through Forge will ask hard questions about what happens to the valuation if one of those relationships ends. Have an honest answer ready before that question comes up rather than during a live diligence call: know which clients are renewing under multi-year terms, which are month-to-month, and how the team would replace that revenue if needed. Separately, a liquidity program at a forty-person company can eat an outsized share of leadership attention simply because everyone knows everyone and rumors travel fast, so name one person, usually the CFO or head of finance, as the single point of contact for questions and set a clear communication cadence so employees are not left guessing whether the program is still moving.
What Good Looks Like
A fast-growing agency manages this well when it can fund a targeted retention program without derailing the hiring plan the next funding round is supposed to pay for.
Building The Capability (5-Stage Skill Ladder)
How to Get Started
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Keep the operating entity's state filings current, since a lapsed registration is an easy thing to miss while a team is focused on client delivery.
Fund a capped buyback from a separate treasury sub-account so it is easy to show the board exactly what it cost against runway.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why would a fast-growing agency worry about its burn multiple during a liquidity program?
Funding a tender from cash on hand is a direct draw on runway, like any other spend. A board that ignores the burn multiple impact can end up raising sooner than planned to make up for it. Model the effect before announcing any number to employees.
Is lengthening vesting a common alternative to a full tender offer?
Yes, some boards use a smaller, capped cash-out combined with extended vesting on the remainder as a lower-cost way to address retention without committing the full amount a larger tender would require.
How do you know when internal funding stops making sense?
Internal funding stops making sense once it would push your burn multiple outside a range you would defend to the board. Model the tender size against your current burn multiple for your revenue band. At that point, look at an outside buyer through Forge, and keep Carta for settlement mechanics.
Sources
Where we quote a benchmark, we show its source. Other figures in this guide are estimates or general guidance, so check them against your own numbers.
- Burn multiple guidance bands by ARR (net burn / net new ARR). a16z Growth burn multiple framework (Kahl & George, 'A Framework for Navigating Down Markets', May 2022), table transcribed by Kruze Consulting, 2022.
- ARR growth rate percentiles by ARR band (private B2B SaaS). SaaS Capital Research Brief 33: 2025 Benchmarking Private SaaS Company Growth Rates (14th annual survey, 1,000+ private B2B SaaS companies), 2024.
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